Pokies strategy guide: how it really works

Pokies strategy guides often promise more than the maths allows. This page explains what random number generators, RTP and volatility actually do, and where the real money decisions are.

Key figures

What strategy can and cannot change

A pokie outcome is produced by a random number generator. The reels stop where the RNG says they stop, and no sequence of spins, no timing and no button pattern changes that result. Strategy, in the sense of a method that alters your chance of a win, does not exist for the base game. What you can control is how much you stake, how long you play and whether you accept a bonus with conditions attached.

The published RTP on each pokie is a long-run average of money returned to players across a very large number of spins. It does not mean a session will return that percentage. A run of spins can pay nothing or pay far more than the average, and the average only asserts itself over a volume of play no individual session reaches. Treat the figure as a property of the game, not a forecast for your night.

In plain terms:Return to player (RTP)
RTP is the percentage of all money staked on a pokie that is paid back to players over the long run, averaged across a very large number of spins. It is a property of the game's maths, not a promise about any individual session.

What to check in bonus terms before depositing

The partner's published terms list a first deposit bonus of 600% cash, daily cashback of 10% of losses, a minimum deposit of US$20 and a maximum bet on a bonus of A$5. Those are the only figures we can verify for this subject. A cash bonus is not the same as cash: it usually comes with wagering conditions, and the maximum bet rule means large spins are not permitted while a bonus is active. Breaking that rule can void the bonus and any winnings from it.

Cashback on losses is a return of part of what you lost, not a reward for playing. It reduces the cost of a losing session but it does not turn a losing session into a winning one. Read the terms on the partner's site before depositing, because the conditions on withdrawal and wagering decide whether the bonus is worth taking at all.

Volatility and stake size in practice

Volatility describes how a game distributes its wins. High volatility means longer gaps between wins and larger individual pays when they come. Medium-high sits between the two. A high-volatility pokie can absorb a balance quickly during a dry run, so the stake you choose should be one you can sustain through those gaps without chasing. If a dry run makes you raise your stake, the game has already beaten your plan.

The shortlist below shows the published RTP, volatility and maximum win for each title. The maximum win is a cap on the largest possible payout, not a target. Most sessions never approach it, and the multiplier is applied to your stake at the time of the win. Compare the figures to understand the shape of each game, then decide whether that shape suits the amount you are prepared to lose.

The ranking, and what decided it

The shortlist below lists the published RTP, volatility, maximum win and line count for each pokie, so you can compare how each game is built before you decide where to play.

5 pokies compared on their published figures
1Big Bass Bonanza96.71%High2,100xPragmatic Play
2Madame Destiny Megaways96.51%High5,000xPragmatic Play
3Gates of Olympus96.5%High5,000xPragmatic Play
4Sweet Bonanza96.48%Medium-High21,100xPragmatic Play
5Floating Dragon96.35%High5,000xPragmatic Play

Select a column heading to sort.

Short answers to the common questions

Is there a pokies strategy that actually wins?

No. The random number generator decides every outcome, and no staking plan or spin pattern changes the odds. The only levers you control are stake size, session length and whether you accept a bonus with conditions.

Does a higher RTP mean I will win more tonight?

No. RTP is a long-run average across an enormous number of spins, not a prediction for a single session. A game with a higher published RTP still loses for many players on any given night.

What is the maximum bet on a bonus?

The partner's published terms state a maximum bet on a bonus of A$5. Exceeding that limit while a bonus is active can void the bonus and any winnings generated from it, so check the terms before you spin.

Should I take the 600% first deposit bonus?

It depends on the wagering conditions attached to it, which decide how much play is required before a withdrawal. A large bonus with heavy conditions can cost more than it returns, so read the terms first.

Is there a pokies strategy that actually wins?

No. The random number generator decides every outcome, and no staking plan or spin pattern changes the odds. The only levers you control are stake size, session length and whether you accept a bonus with conditions.